This Saturday, there are two NFL games, and we have a player prop for each of them. These positions for the two pass-catchers on our radar are fantastic. Let’s kick off the Week 16 weekend right.
Pat Freiermuth has 25.5 yards receiving (-120 DK).
Pat Freiermuth has been on my mind all week, and I’m surprised we’re able to get him at this price.
Okay, I’m starting to get this line; Mason Rudolph is the quarterback. Nonetheless, Rudolph has targeted Freiermuth 13 times in his last two games, with eight catches.
Freiermuth will face a Cincinnati defense that allows the most TE receptions per game, and their secondary has been vulnerable to passing success overall.
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The Steelers’ top tight end is projected to have a very healthy 2.5 receptions per game, implying 3+. When the ‘Muth has that kind of passing volume, he’s gone over this line in 74% of his games since the start of last season, averaging 43.8 yards per game.
Oh, and he adored Cincinnati. He’s scored in four consecutive games, averaging 78.5 yards per game. This includes a 9-120 loss to them just a few weeks ago.
Stefon Diggs has more than 67.5 receiving yards (-114 FD).
Diggs and the Bills should have a big night against the Chargers’ porous secondary. Los Angeles has the fifth-highest yards per pass attempt, the fourth-highest passes of 20 yards or more per game, and the third-highest passing yards in the NFL.
Diggs has been quiet recently, but I’m willing to take a chance on him popping up here. Diggs is expected to play more on Saturday, with books pricing his receptions line at 6.5, juiced to the under. That suggests Diggs will get at least 5-6 receptions, and when he does, he will be able to hit this line with ease.
Diggs has caught 5 or more balls in 29 of his last 35 games, averaging 93.3 yards per game. That’s the kind of consistency I enjoy seeing against a weak opponent.
He’s by far the most dependable receiver on this team and should be able to break off a few big plays in the air to help us win.
